Political Groundhog Sees Longer Election Season

By: Jim Willshier, Director of Government Affairs

Pennsylvania’s political season is underway with its usual intensity, compounded by unresolved budget issues and an increasingly complex election cycle. The state budget for the current fiscal year remains unfinished months past its deadline, and debate is already shifting to priorities likely to shape the 2026 budget. That uncertainty is unfolding alongside a highly competitive election environment, as lawmakers seek re-election and leadership positions while working to expand their political influence.

Gov. Josh Shapiro continues to build national visibility, campaigning beyond the state through book tours, high-dollar fundraisers and prominent media appearances as he works to strengthen his long-term political standing. He is expected to face State Treasurer Stacy Garrity, the likely Republican nominee, though her running mate has not yet been determined. It remains unclear whether ongoing political challenges surrounding Shapiro will affect his standing with voters.

At the legislative level, control remains narrowly divided, with Democrats holding the House by a single seat and Republicans controlling the Senate by a two-seat margin. The House continues to serve as the primary battleground as both parties attempt to gain — or, for Republicans, regain — majority control. That effort is further complicated by a series of announced retirements, including Reps. Bryan Cutler, Mary Jo Daley, Sheryl Delozier, Anita Kulik and Seth Grove.

In the coming weeks, candidates will begin circulating petitions to qualify for the May 19 primary election. At the same time, lawmakers will be drawn deeper into budget negotiations and the political debates that accompany them.

While much remains uncertain, one trend is clear: Pennsylvania’s election season continues to grow longer and move faster than in previous cycles. Unresolved policy issues and the priorities of political donors are expected to play an increasingly prominent role, particularly as lawmakers navigate limited budget resources and heightened concern over the political consequences of key votes.